2018 MOP to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

72.9720 SOS

YEARLY LOW

70.7124 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

71.7095 SOS

2018 MOP to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 72.9720. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 17, dropping to 70.7124.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2597 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 72.0034 to the December average rate of 71.9662, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 72.9720 was down 1.09% compared to the 2017 peak of 73.7781, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 364,860 SOS

2017 Average 360,820 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 353,562 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,298.43 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

72.1575

71.2404

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 71.6959, compared to 71.7231 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0272 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 71.6959

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 71.7231

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 1.7625 SOS (High: 72.9720 / Low: 71.2095). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1803 SOS (High: 71.6127 / Low: 71.4325).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.7625

August Spread (Stable) ±0.1803

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.4857 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4857

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 72.0034) against the same month in 2017 (average: 72.3395), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3361 (-0.46%).

2018 Avg (January) 72.0034

2017 Avg (January) 72.3395

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	72.9720	71.2095	72.0034
February	72.4168	71.7767	72.0810
March	72.4666	71.4895	71.9456
April	72.0495	70.7519	71.4599
May	71.8482	70.7216	71.3168
June	71.9038	70.7124	71.3688
July	71.7949	71.1237	71.5418
August	71.6127	71.4325	71.5490
September	71.9206	71.4245	71.6272
October	72.1070	71.6063	71.7829
November	72.1375	71.6984	71.8718
December	72.2212	71.6987	71.9662