2019 MOP to SOS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

72.5637 SOS

YEARLY LOW

70.4319 SOS

YEARLY AVERAGE

71.8557 SOS

2019 MOP to SOS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to SOS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 5, valuing the pair at 72.5637. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 24, dropping to 70.4319.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1318 SOS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 71.8523 to the December average rate of 72.1510, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.42% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 72.5637 was down 0.56% compared to the 2018 peak of 72.9720, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 362,819 SOS

2018 Average 358,539 SOS

Yearly Trough Low 352,159 SOS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,659.25 SOS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

72.2006

71.6058

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SOS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 71.8241, compared to 71.8873 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0632 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 71.8241

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 71.8873

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.4997 SOS (High: 71.9315 / Low: 70.4319). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3675 SOS (High: 71.9219 / Low: 71.5544).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.4997

February Spread (Stable) ±0.3675

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.4636 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4636

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2019: 72.1190) against the same month in 2018 (average: 71.5418), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5772 (+0.81%).

2019 Avg (July) 72.1190

2018 Avg (July) 71.5418

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	72.4413	71.2452	71.8523
February	71.9219	71.5544	71.6902
March	72.2767	71.5709	71.7646
April	71.8894	71.4130	71.7155
May	72.3347	71.5529	71.8637
June	72.4769	71.6179	72.0585
July	72.5637	71.8014	72.1190
August	71.9315	70.4319	71.6553
September	72.0890	70.9450	71.7760
October	72.0709	71.6071	71.7634
November	72.0877	71.6361	71.8590
December	72.4489	71.7753	72.1510