YEARLY HIGH
1.5846 HNL
YEARLY LOW
1.4796 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5485 HNL

2018 MVR to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MVR to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 1.5846. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 1.4796.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1050 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5341 to the December average rate of 1.5701, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.5846 was down 4.07% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.6518, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,923 HNL
2017 Average 7,604 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 7,398 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 524.79 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.5748
1.5248
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5352, compared to 1.5618 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0265 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5352
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5618

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was December, with a trading range of 0.1050 HNL (High: 1.5846 / Low: 1.4796). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0092 HNL (High: 1.5357 / Low: 1.5265).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1050
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0092

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0051 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0051

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 1.5701) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.5344), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0357 (+2.33%).

2018 Avg (December) 1.5701
2017 Avg (December) 1.5344

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5427 1.5258 1.5341
February 1.5353 1.5233 1.5289
March 1.5357 1.5265 1.5294
April 1.5393 1.5214 1.5343
May 1.5412 1.5258 1.5334
June 1.5608 1.5358 1.5515
July 1.5607 1.5398 1.5544
August 1.5610 1.5448 1.5554
September 1.5649 1.5526 1.5595
October 1.5666 1.5493 1.5604
November 1.5790 1.5524 1.5707
December 1.5846 1.4796 1.5701