YEARLY HIGH
1.6229 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.9624 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.5897 HNL

2019 MVR to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MVR to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 1.6229. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 9, dropping to 0.9624.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6605 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5778 to the December average rate of 1.5799, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1.6229 was up 2.42% compared to the 2018 peak of 1.5846, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,115 HNL
2018 Average 7,743 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 4,812 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,302.55 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1.6036
1.5755
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5859, compared to 1.5934 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0075 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5859
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.5934

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was December, with a trading range of 0.6454 HNL (High: 1.6078 / Low: 0.9624). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0141 HNL (High: 1.6071 / Low: 1.5931).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.6454
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0141

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0198 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0198

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 1.5972) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1.5515), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0457 (+2.95%).

2019 Avg (June) 1.5972
2018 Avg (June) 1.5515

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5834 1.5663 1.5778
February 1.5922 1.5772 1.5844
March 1.5943 1.5739 1.5861
April 1.5970 1.5821 1.5893
May 1.6007 1.5305 1.5804
June 1.6229 1.5745 1.5972
July 1.6046 1.5793 1.5943
August 1.6035 1.5557 1.5885
September 1.6045 1.5738 1.5969
October 1.6071 1.5931 1.6012
November 1.6093 1.5908 1.5997
December 1.6078 0.9624 1.5799