2011 MVR to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

7.5271 KES

YEARLY LOW

5.9179 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.5111 KES

2011 MVR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MVR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 7.5271. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 5.9179.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6092 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3254 to the December average rate of 6.1369, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 7.5271 was up 17.24% compared to the 2010 peak of 6.4202, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,635 KES

2010 Average 30,944 KES

Yearly Trough Low 29,589 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,045.98 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

7.2588

6.0349

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4023, compared to 6.6199 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2176 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4023

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6199

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 0.6515 KES (High: 6.9820 / Low: 6.3305). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0468 KES (High: 6.3477 / Low: 6.3009).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.6515

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0468

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.5411 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5411

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 7.1568) against the same month in 2010 (average: 6.3016), the exchange rate shifted by +0.8552 (+13.57%).

2011 Avg (October) 7.1568

2010 Avg (October) 6.3016

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.3477	6.3009	6.3254
February	6.4346	6.3236	6.3679
March	6.7179	6.4639	6.5848
April	6.5805	6.5058	6.5480
May	6.6060	6.0674	6.2614
June	6.5130	6.1127	6.3264
July	6.4770	6.2883	6.3850
August	6.7383	6.4681	6.5964
September	7.2780	6.6542	6.8287
October	7.5271	7.0252	7.1568
November	6.9820	6.3305	6.6158
December	6.3839	5.9179	6.1369