YEARLY HIGH
7.2468 KES
YEARLY LOW
6.4909 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.9015 KES

2020 MVR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MVR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 7.2468. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 6.4909.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7558 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5411 to the December average rate of 7.1692, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 7.2468 was up 7.24% compared to the 2019 peak of 6.7572, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,234 KES
2019 Average 33,022 KES
Yearly Trough Low 32,455 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,779.04 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

7.2335
6.4613
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.7458, compared to 7.0573 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3115 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.7458
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.0573

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.3849 KES (High: 6.9091 / Low: 6.5242). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0254 KES (High: 7.0519 / Low: 7.0266).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3849
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0254

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0154 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0154

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 7.1692) against the same month in 2019 (average: 6.5683), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6008 (+9.15%).

2020 Avg (December) 7.1692
2019 Avg (December) 6.5683

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5852 6.4909 6.5411
February 6.5731 6.4909 6.5257
March 6.9091 6.5242 6.7191
April 6.9464 6.8267 6.9036
May 6.9301 6.8128 6.8957
June 6.9188 6.8478 6.8896
July 7.0127 6.9123 6.9673
August 7.0415 6.9922 7.0181
September 7.0519 7.0266 7.0391
October 7.0680 7.0396 7.0527
November 7.1460 7.0552 7.0974
December 7.2468 7.0570 7.1692