YEARLY HIGH
5.7135 KES
YEARLY LOW
5.4238 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5989 KES

2013 MVR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MVR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 5.7135. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 1, dropping to 5.4238.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2897 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.6351 to the December average rate of 5.6118, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.41% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 5.7135 was down 8.04% compared to the 2012 peak of 6.2127, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28,567 KES
2012 Average 28,763 KES
Yearly Trough Low 27,119 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,448.52 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

5.7113
5.4565
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5680, compared to 5.6298 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0618 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5680
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.6298

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was June, with a trading range of 0.1555 KES (High: 5.6488 / Low: 5.4934). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0445 KES (High: 5.7106 / Low: 5.6660).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1555
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0445

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1450 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1450

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2013: 5.6840) against the same month in 2012 (average: 5.4919), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1920 (+3.50%).

2013 Avg (September) 5.6840
2012 Avg (September) 5.4919

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6797 5.5770 5.6351
February 5.7036 5.6083 5.6778
March 5.6025 5.5383 5.5675
April 5.5504 5.4260 5.4777
May 5.5513 5.4238 5.4798
June 5.6488 5.4934 5.5705
July 5.6928 5.6032 5.6536
August 5.7106 5.6660 5.6900
September 5.7135 5.6105 5.6840
October 5.6287 5.5026 5.5390
November 5.6586 5.5480 5.6007
December 5.6633 5.5738 5.6118