2018 MVR to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.7341 KES

YEARLY LOW

6.4351 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.5597 KES

2018 MVR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MVR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 6.7341. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 20, dropping to 6.4351.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2990 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.6787 to the December average rate of 6.6125, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.99% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.7341 was down 7.69% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.2949, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,671 KES

2017 Average 33,501 KES

Yearly Trough Low 32,175 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,495.09 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.6974

6.4727

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.5580, compared to 6.5613 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0034 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.5580

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.5613

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.1244 KES (High: 6.6793 / Low: 6.5549). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0240 KES (High: 6.5347 / Low: 6.5107).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1244

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0240

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1091 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1091

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 6.6787) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.7497), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0710 (-1.05%).

2018 Avg (January) 6.6787

2017 Avg (January) 6.7497

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.7341	6.6389	6.6787
February	6.6162	6.5336	6.5696
March	6.5629	6.5171	6.5477
April	6.5649	6.4612	6.5211
May	6.5476	6.4351	6.4914
June	6.5681	6.4995	6.5395
July	6.5609	6.4583	6.5242
August	6.5347	6.5107	6.5223
September	6.5662	6.5118	6.5388
October	6.5961	6.5188	6.5502
November	6.6793	6.5549	6.6200
December	6.6414	6.5592	6.6125