YEARLY HIGH
10.2141 KES
YEARLY LOW
8.0137 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.0966 KES

2023 MVR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MVR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 10.2141. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 8.0137.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2004 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.0571 to the December average rate of 10.0475, the exchange rate registered a net change of 24.70% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 10.2141 was up 27.18% compared to the 2022 peak of 8.0315, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,071 KES
2022 Average 38,239 KES
Yearly Trough Low 40,069 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,001.94 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

10.2465
7.8581
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.5760, compared to 9.6173 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0413 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.5760
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.6173

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 0.3391 KES (High: 8.5983 / Low: 8.2593). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0907 KES (High: 8.1044 / Low: 8.0137).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.3391
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0907

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 10.0475) against the same month in 2022 (average: 8.0042), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0433 (+25.53%).

2023 Avg (December) 10.0475
2022 Avg (December) 8.0042

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.1044 8.0137 8.0571
February 8.2747 8.1077 8.1831
March 8.5983 8.2593 8.4275
April 8.8630 8.5983 8.7491
May 9.0621 8.8061 8.9418
June 9.2033 8.9560 9.0973
July 9.2769 9.0338 9.1966
August 9.4417 9.2664 9.3514
September 9.6234 9.4235 9.5201
October 9.7919 9.5499 9.6996
November 9.9780 9.6880 9.8883
December 10.2141 9.9182 10.0475