YEARLY HIGH
8.4330 KES
YEARLY LOW
8.2785 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.3683 KES

2026 MVR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MVR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 30, valuing the pair at 8.4330. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 8.2785.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1545 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.3447 to the December average rate of 8.3615, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 8.4330 was down 0.55% compared to the 2025 peak of 8.4793, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,165 KES
2025 Average 41,980 KES
Yearly Trough Low 41,393 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 772.55 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

8.4018
8.3395
JanuMarcMayJuly

MVR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.3693, compared to 8.3650 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0044 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.3693
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.3650

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.1089 KES (High: 8.4330 / Low: 8.3241). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0273 KES (High: 8.3729 / Low: 8.3455).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1089
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0273

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0168 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0168

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 8.3732) against the same month in 2025 (average: 8.3894), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0162 (-0.19%).

2026 Avg (March) 8.3732
2025 Avg (March) 8.3894

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.3575 8.2785 8.3447
February 8.4029 8.3163 8.3472
March 8.4330 8.3241 8.3732
April 8.4264 8.3506 8.3746
May 8.4104 8.3565 8.3966
June 8.4058 8.3689 8.3798
July 8.3835 8.3518 8.3684
August 8.3729 8.3455 8.3615