2016 MVR to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.7391 KES

YEARLY LOW

6.5599 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.6496 KES

2016 MVR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MVR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 6.7391. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 6.5599.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1792 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.6864 to the December average rate of 6.6701, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.7391 was down 2.85% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.9368, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,696 KES

2015 Average 32,124 KES

Yearly Trough Low 32,799 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 896.25 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.6961

6.5792

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.6408, compared to 6.6584 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0176 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.6408

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6584

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.1457 KES (High: 6.7391 / Low: 6.5934). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0309 KES (High: 6.6522 / Low: 6.6213).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1457

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0309

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0484 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0484

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 6.6373) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.1148), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5225 (+8.54%).

2016 Avg (April) 6.6373

2015 Avg (April) 6.1148

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.7388	6.6588	6.6864
February	6.7319	6.6381	6.6653
March	6.6896	6.6103	6.6472
April	6.7391	6.5934	6.6373
May	6.6174	6.5599	6.5889
June	6.7347	6.5941	6.6197
July	6.7082	6.6405	6.6714
August	6.7157	6.6463	6.6775
September	6.6522	6.6213	6.6345
October	6.6648	6.6063	6.6374
November	6.7085	6.6178	6.6594
December	6.7199	6.6334	6.6701