YEARLY HIGH
6.7210 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.4986 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9788 RSD

2012 MVR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MVR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 6.7210. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 17, dropping to 5.4986.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2224 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7744 to the December average rate of 5.6217, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 6.7210 was up 4.73% compared to the 2011 peak of 6.4177, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,605 RSD
2011 Average 26,899 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 27,493 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,111.82 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

6.6329
5.5298
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.0611, compared to 5.8965 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1646 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.0611
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8965

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.7366 RSD (High: 6.7210 / Low: 5.9845). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1228 RSD (High: 6.0305 / Low: 5.9076).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.7366
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1228

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3183 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3183

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2012: 6.2892) against the same month in 2011 (average: 5.0130), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2762 (+25.46%).

2012 Avg (May) 6.2892
2011 Avg (May) 5.0130

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8620 5.7000 5.7744
February 5.8745 5.6674 5.8022
March 6.0305 5.9076 5.9514
April 6.0474 5.9157 6.0085
May 6.7210 5.9845 6.2892
June 6.7116 6.3904 6.5410
July 6.7189 6.1116 6.3242
August 6.3087 6.0773 6.1777
September 6.0970 5.7244 5.8594
October 5.8102 5.4986 5.6881
November 5.7610 5.6077 5.7081
December 5.7367 5.5412 5.6217