YEARLY HIGH
7.1610 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.2065 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.6872 RSD

2020 MVR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MVR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 7.1610. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 6.2065.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9545 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.8513 to the December average rate of 6.2677, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 7.1610 was up 2.49% compared to the 2019 peak of 6.9873, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 35,805 RSD
2019 Average 34,076 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 31,032 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,772.73 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

7.0914
6.1928
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9089, compared to 6.4656 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4433 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9089
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.4656

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.5036 RSD (High: 7.1610 / Low: 6.6574). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1139 RSD (High: 6.5516 / Low: 6.4377).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.5036
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1139

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.2112 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2112

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 6.8847) against the same month in 2019 (average: 6.7556), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1291 (+1.91%).

2020 Avg (March) 6.8847
2019 Avg (March) 6.7556

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.9123 6.7835 6.8513
February 7.0822 6.8729 6.9707
March 7.1610 6.6574 6.8847
April 7.0670 6.9464 7.0166
May 7.0447 6.8553 6.9647
June 6.8267 6.6683 6.7652
July 6.7964 6.4331 6.6651
August 6.5062 6.3897 6.4539
September 6.5629 6.3998 6.4761
October 6.5516 6.4377 6.4870
November 6.5584 6.3802 6.4436
December 6.3234 6.2065 6.2677