YEARLY HIGH
5.8108 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.2585 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5355 RSD

2013 MVR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MVR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 8, valuing the pair at 5.8108. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 5.2585.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5522 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4590 to the December average rate of 5.4443, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 5.8108 was down 13.54% compared to the 2012 peak of 6.7210, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,054 RSD
2012 Average 29,896 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 26,293 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,761.12 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

5.6904
5.3869
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5390, compared to 5.5321 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0069 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5390
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.5321

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 0.2752 RSD (High: 5.5338 / Low: 5.2585). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0724 RSD (High: 5.4797 / Low: 5.4073).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2752
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0724

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1477 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1477

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 5.6651) against the same month in 2012 (average: 6.3242), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6591 (-10.42%).

2013 Avg (July) 5.6651
2012 Avg (July) 6.3242

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5713 5.3153 5.4590
February 5.5338 5.2585 5.4122
March 5.6878 5.5122 5.5939
April 5.6647 5.4607 5.5651
May 5.6184 5.4431 5.5691
June 5.7344 5.5401 5.6347
July 5.8108 5.5684 5.6651
August 5.6311 5.5369 5.5694
September 5.6864 5.4955 5.5834
October 5.4947 5.3615 5.4357
November 5.5560 5.4523 5.4947
December 5.4797 5.4073 5.4443