YEARLY HIGH
6.5499 RSD
YEARLY LOW
5.3917 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7477 RSD

2014 MVR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MVR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 6.5499. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 6, dropping to 5.3917.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1583 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5031 to the December average rate of 6.4580, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 6.5499 was up 12.72% compared to the 2013 peak of 5.8108, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,750 RSD
2013 Average 27,681 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 26,958 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,791.31 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

6.5605
5.3297
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.4739, compared to 6.0216 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5477 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.4739
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0216

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.2613 RSD (High: 6.0959 / Low: 5.8346). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0542 RSD (High: 5.5228 / Low: 5.4686).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2613
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0542

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0745 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0745

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 6.4580) against the same month in 2013 (average: 5.4443), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0137 (+18.62%).

2014 Avg (December) 6.4580
2013 Avg (December) 5.4443

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5676 5.4152 5.5031
February 5.5702 5.4550 5.5080
March 5.4857 5.3926 5.4335
April 5.4785 5.4060 5.4323
May 5.5072 5.3917 5.4642
June 5.5228 5.4686 5.5025
July 5.6632 5.4908 5.5734
August 5.8460 5.6512 5.7297
September 6.0959 5.8346 5.9824
October 6.1745 6.0658 6.1118
November 6.3515 6.1588 6.2742
December 6.5499 6.3412 6.4580