YEARLY HIGH
7.2910 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.7680 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.0533 RSD

2023 MVR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MVR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 7.2910. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 15, dropping to 6.7680.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5230 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.0731 to the December average rate of 6.9822, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 7.2910 was down 7.84% compared to the 2022 peak of 7.9109, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,455 RSD
2022 Average 36,213 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 33,840 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,614.88 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

7.2444
6.8637
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.0628, compared to 7.0437 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0191 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.0628
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.0437

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was February, with a trading range of 0.3071 RSD (High: 7.2476 / Low: 6.9405). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1159 RSD (High: 7.0532 / Low: 6.9372).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.3071
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1159

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1599 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1599

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2023: 7.2127) against the same month in 2022 (average: 7.7249), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5122 (-6.63%).

2023 Avg (October) 7.2127
2022 Avg (October) 7.7249

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.2382 6.9939 7.0731
February 7.2476 6.9405 7.1412
March 7.2452 6.9862 7.1209
April 7.0496 6.8729 6.9611
May 7.1664 6.8958 7.0335
June 7.1391 6.9541 7.0470
July 7.0227 6.7680 6.8954
August 7.0532 6.9372 6.9930
September 7.2243 7.0568 7.1255
October 7.2910 7.1304 7.2127
November 7.1972 6.9424 7.0534
December 7.0929 6.8626 6.9822