YEARLY HIGH
7.7505 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.9498 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.2856 RSD

2016 MVR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MVR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 7.7505. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 6.9498.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8007 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.3708 to the December average rate of 7.6399, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 7.7505 was up 3.50% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.4883, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,753 RSD
2015 Average 35,574 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 34,749 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,003.66 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

7.6939
7.0456
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.2076, compared to 7.3637 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1561 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.2076
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.3637

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.3894 RSD (High: 7.6285 / Low: 7.2391). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0922 RSD (High: 7.2521 / Low: 7.1600).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.3894
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0922

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1469 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1469

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 7.6399) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.2960), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3438 (+4.71%).

2016 Avg (December) 7.6399
2015 Avg (December) 7.2960

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.4394 7.2898 7.3708
February 7.4295 7.0841 7.2303
March 7.4247 7.0686 7.2465
April 7.1837 7.0018 7.0996
May 7.2734 6.9498 7.1131
June 7.3926 7.0890 7.1854
July 7.4051 7.2483 7.3345
August 7.3545 7.1481 7.2385
September 7.2521 7.1600 7.2005
October 7.4201 7.1741 7.3054
November 7.6285 7.2391 7.4632
December 7.7505 7.5032 7.6399