2018 MVR to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.7821 RSD

YEARLY LOW

6.1180 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.4881 RSD

2018 MVR to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MVR to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 6.7821. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 6.1180.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6641 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.3121 to the December average rate of 6.7266, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.7821 was down 12.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.7670, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33,911 RSD

2017 Average 34,873 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 30,590 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,320.51 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.7862

6.1511

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.3267, compared to 6.6494 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3227 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.3267

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6494

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.2660 RSD (High: 6.5995 / Low: 6.3336). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0983 RSD (High: 6.7794 / Low: 6.6811).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.2660

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0983

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1039 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1039

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 6.7266) against the same month in 2017 (average: 6.5200), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2066 (+3.17%).

2018 Avg (December) 6.7266

2017 Avg (December) 6.5200

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.4610	6.2009	6.3121
February	6.2883	6.1180	6.2081
March	6.2600	6.1481	6.2041
April	6.3331	6.1822	6.2416
May	6.5995	6.3336	6.4473
June	6.6324	6.4511	6.5471
July	6.5792	6.4643	6.5430
August	6.7254	6.5341	6.6299
September	6.6328	6.5152	6.5830
October	6.7664	6.6067	6.6806
November	6.7794	6.6811	6.7333
December	6.7821	6.6734	6.7266