YEARLY HIGH
8.3969 BIF
YEARLY LOW
4.7794 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.5514 BIF

2016 NGN to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NGN to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 20, valuing the pair at 8.3969. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 22, dropping to 4.7794.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6175 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.8442 to the December average rate of 5.3218, the exchange rate registered a net change of -32.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.3969 was down 3.58% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.7089, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,396,903 BIF
2015 Average 7,919,116 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 4,779,425 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,617,478.04 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.1148
4.8908
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.7476, compared to 5.3551 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.3925 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.7476
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.3551

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 2.5143 BIF (High: 8.3969 / Low: 5.8826). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0715 BIF (High: 5.3680 / Low: 5.2965).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.5143
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0715

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.6401 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6401

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 7.3164) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.8699), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5535 (-7.03%).

2016 Avg (June) 7.3164
2015 Avg (June) 7.8699

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.8966 7.7734 7.8442
February 7.8786 7.7828 7.8404
March 7.8910 7.7932 7.8462
April 7.8680 7.7568 7.8061
May 7.8749 7.7806 7.8326
June 8.3969 5.8826 7.3164
July 5.9053 5.1935 5.6763
August 5.3360 4.7794 5.1595
September 5.3561 5.2660 5.3175
October 5.3972 5.2864 5.3263
November 5.3680 5.2965 5.3292
December 5.4970 5.2659 5.3218