YEARLY HIGH
5.0275 BIF
YEARLY LOW
4.8523 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.9203 BIF

2018 NGN to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NGN to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 5.0275. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 4.8523.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1753 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8956 to the December average rate of 4.9656, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.0275 was down 10.94% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.6449, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,027,548 BIF
2017 Average 5,180,139 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 4,852,271 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 175,277.62 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.9726
4.8886
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9102, compared to 4.9303 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0201 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9102
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9303

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.1546 BIF (High: 5.0069 / Low: 4.8523). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0503 BIF (High: 4.9253 / Low: 4.8750).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1546
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0503

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0137 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0137

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 4.9656) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.8883), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0773 (+1.58%).

2018 Avg (December) 4.9656
2017 Avg (December) 4.8883

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.9263 4.8726 4.8956
February 4.9333 4.8736 4.8961
March 4.9472 4.8757 4.9045
April 4.9631 4.8928 4.9238
May 4.9653 4.8833 4.9190
June 4.9597 4.8634 4.9224
July 4.9718 4.8703 4.9117
August 4.9542 4.8888 4.9180
September 4.9253 4.8750 4.9042
October 5.0014 4.8811 4.9305
November 5.0069 4.8523 4.9517
December 5.0275 4.8993 4.9656