YEARLY HIGH
6.0728 BIF
YEARLY LOW
4.9106 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.1187 BIF

2019 NGN to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the NGN to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 7, valuing the pair at 6.0728. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 4.9106.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1621 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9670 to the December average rate of 5.1773, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 6.0728 was up 20.79% compared to the 2018 peak of 5.0275, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,072,769 BIF
2018 Average 4,920,405 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 4,910,632 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,162,137.28 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

5.3650
4.9308
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0927, compared to 5.1446 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0519 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0927
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1446

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.0272 BIF (High: 6.0335 / Low: 5.0063). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0233 BIF (High: 5.1797 / Low: 5.1564).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.0272
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0233

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.2148 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 5.3288) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.9224), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4064 (+8.26%).

2019 Avg (June) 5.3288
2018 Avg (June) 4.9224

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0339 4.9106 4.9670
February 5.0650 4.9666 5.0179
March 5.1017 5.0030 5.0543
April 5.1000 5.0713 5.0879
May 5.1417 5.0679 5.1003
June 6.0728 5.0850 5.3288
July 5.1444 5.0835 5.1140
August 6.0335 5.0063 5.1470
September 5.1850 5.0878 5.1246
October 5.1757 5.0918 5.1360
November 5.1797 5.1564 5.1689
December 5.2000 5.1649 5.1773