YEARLY HIGH
5.1942 BIF
YEARLY LOW
4.7210 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.8989 BIF

2021 NGN to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the NGN to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 13, valuing the pair at 5.1942. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 20, dropping to 4.7210.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4732 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0202 to the December average rate of 4.8578, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 5.1942 was down 0.57% compared to the 2020 peak of 5.2241, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,194,231 BIF
2020 Average 5,036,557 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 4,721,008 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 473,223.45 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

5.0648
4.7872
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.9598, compared to 4.8380 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1217 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.9598
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.8380

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.4299 BIF (High: 5.1711 / Low: 4.7412). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0228 BIF (High: 4.8351 / Low: 4.8123).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.4299
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0228

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1293 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1293

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 4.8759) against the same month in 2020 (average: 4.8915), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0156 (-0.32%).

2021 Avg (May) 4.8759
2020 Avg (May) 4.8915

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1511 4.8952 5.0202
February 5.1470 4.7210 5.0052
March 5.1711 4.7412 5.0417
April 5.1735 4.7499 5.0052
May 5.1942 4.7700 4.8759
June 4.8341 4.7861 4.8103
July 4.8463 4.8090 4.8198
August 4.8351 4.8123 4.8204
September 4.8481 4.8211 4.8320
October 4.8697 4.8249 4.8474
November 4.8745 4.8294 4.8507
December 4.8786 4.8350 4.8578