YEARLY HIGH
6.1362 BIF
YEARLY LOW
3.1771 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1629 BIF

2023 NGN to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the NGN to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 4, valuing the pair at 6.1362. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 3.1771.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9591 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5514 to the December average rate of 3.5258, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.53% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 6.1362 was up 23.42% compared to the 2022 peak of 4.9719, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,136,245 BIF
2022 Average 4,822,678 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 3,177,108 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,959,137.22 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

5.3523
3.3597
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.7086, compared to 3.6172 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0914 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.7086
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.6172

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 2.6855 BIF (High: 6.1362 / Low: 3.4508). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0263 BIF (High: 4.5293 / Low: 4.5030).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.6855
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0263

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.3437 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3437

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2023: 4.9858) against the same month in 2022 (average: 4.9287), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0571 (+1.16%).

2023 Avg (June) 4.9858
2022 Avg (June) 4.9287

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6325 4.4777 4.5514
February 4.5159 4.4896 4.5035
March 4.5293 4.5030 4.5165
April 4.5293 4.4672 4.5080
May 6.1320 4.5022 5.1863
June 6.1362 3.4508 4.9858
July 3.7381 3.5712 3.6421
August 3.7719 3.6390 3.6931
September 3.8073 3.5851 3.6644
October 3.7466 3.2127 3.6313
November 3.6067 3.4354 3.5465
December 3.7358 3.1771 3.5258