YEARLY HIGH
6.4548 NPR
YEARLY LOW
5.6119 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.9431 NPR

2011 SCR to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 1, valuing the pair at 6.4548. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 28, dropping to 5.6119.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8429 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7293 to the December average rate of 6.2905, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.79% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 6.4548 was down 1.98% compared to the 2010 peak of 6.5851, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,274 NPR
2010 Average 29,422 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 28,059 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,214.61 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

6.3466
5.6732
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.7857, compared to 6.1004 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3147 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.7857
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.1004

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.4815 NPR (High: 6.3309 / Low: 5.8494). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1743 NPR (High: 5.8225 / Low: 5.6481).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.4815
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1743

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0389 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0389

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 6.2905) against the same month in 2010 (average: 5.7625), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5279 (+9.16%).

2011 Avg (December) 6.2905
2010 Avg (December) 5.7625

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8225 5.6481 5.7293
February 5.9045 5.6870 5.7802
March 5.8699 5.6408 5.7591
April 5.8939 5.6745 5.7871
May 5.9799 5.6745 5.8081
June 5.9681 5.7377 5.8505
July 5.9195 5.6119 5.8116
August 6.0818 5.6791 5.9183
September 6.3309 5.8494 6.1427
October 6.2832 5.9964 6.1811
November 6.4502 5.9995 6.2586
December 6.4548 6.0792 6.2905