YEARLY HIGH
8.7373 NPR
YEARLY LOW
7.1698 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.0332 NPR

2018 SCR to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 8.7373. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 7.1698.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5675 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.3180 to the December average rate of 8.2664, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.7373 was up 4.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.3796, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,686 NPR
2017 Average 38,355 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 35,849 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,837.42 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.7600
7.1870
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.7228, compared to 8.3436 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6208 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.7228
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.3436

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.4479 NPR (High: 8.5458 / Low: 8.0979). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0747 NPR (High: 8.1540 / Low: 8.0793).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.4479
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0747

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2079 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2079

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 8.6289) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.6020), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0269 (+13.51%).

2018 Avg (October) 8.6289
2017 Avg (October) 7.6020

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.4687 7.1698 7.3180
February 7.7291 7.2885 7.5665
March 7.7458 7.3610 7.6266
April 7.9502 7.5803 7.7977
May 8.1193 7.7006 8.0028
June 8.1223 7.9631 8.0251
July 8.1540 8.0793 8.1110
August 8.3412 8.0676 8.1885
September 8.5458 8.0979 8.4461
October 8.7373 8.4737 8.6289
November 8.6157 8.1721 8.4209
December 8.4451 8.0451 8.2664