YEARLY HIGH
9.4821 NPR
YEARLY LOW
5.4051 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5863 NPR

2021 SCR to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SCR to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 10, valuing the pair at 9.4821. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 21, dropping to 5.4051.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.0770 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.5102 to the December average rate of 8.9626, the exchange rate registered a net change of 62.65% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 9.4821 was up 0.62% compared to the 2020 peak of 9.4241, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,410 NPR
2020 Average 35,207 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 27,026 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,384.86 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

9.3141
5.1453
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.4771, compared to 8.6956 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.2185 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.4771
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.6956

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 2.9908 NPR (High: 8.6241 / Low: 5.6333). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1272 NPR (High: 5.5406 / Low: 5.4134).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.9908
January Spread (Stable) ±0.1272

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2825 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2825

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 8.9626) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5.5580), the exchange rate shifted by +3.4046 (+61.26%).

2021 Avg (December) 8.9626
2020 Avg (December) 5.5580

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5406 5.4134 5.5102
February 5.5631 5.4051 5.4927
March 5.6949 5.4120 5.4951
April 8.6241 5.6333 7.3509
May 8.0439 7.0275 7.4451
June 8.0763 7.0587 7.5686
July 8.8510 7.2818 8.0727
August 9.1806 7.7487 8.6562
September 9.2068 8.3861 8.9667
October 9.3781 8.0338 8.6842
November 9.3088 7.9561 8.8311
December 9.4821 8.0434 8.9626