2012 SCR to NPR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

6.8728 NPR

YEARLY LOW

5.5022 NPR

YEARLY AVERAGE

6.2311 NPR

2012 SCR to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 6.8728. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 5.5022.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3706 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.9173 to the December average rate of 6.6805, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 6.8728 was up 6.48% compared to the 2011 peak of 6.4548, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 34,364 NPR

2011 Average 29,718 NPR

Yearly Trough Low 27,511 NPR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,853.01 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

6.8042

5.5254

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9112, compared to 6.5510 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6398 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9112

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.5510

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.8315 NPR (High: 6.4088 / Low: 5.5772). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1029 NPR (High: 6.7392 / Low: 6.6363).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.8315

December Spread (Stable) ±0.1029

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2853 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2853

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2012: 6.6977) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.1427), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5550 (+9.03%).

2012 Avg (September) 6.6977

2011 Avg (September) 6.1427

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	6.4088	5.5772	5.9173
February	5.7620	5.5022	5.6320
March	5.8564	5.5886	5.7070
April	6.0725	5.6640	5.8910
May	6.3340	5.8707	6.1315
June	6.4168	6.0355	6.1887
July	6.3338	5.8979	6.0828
August	6.8583	6.3329	6.6975
September	6.8728	6.4570	6.6977
October	6.6047	6.3252	6.4691
November	6.7607	6.5366	6.6786
December	6.7392	6.6363	6.6805