YEARLY HIGH
9.1025 NPR
YEARLY LOW
7.8877 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.2320 NPR

2019 SCR to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 9.1025. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 7.8877.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2148 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.2778 to the December average rate of 8.3125, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.42% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 9.1025 was up 4.18% compared to the 2018 peak of 8.7373, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 45,513 NPR
2018 Average 40,178 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 39,438 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,074.05 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

8.3821
8.0101
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.1875, compared to 8.2765 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0890 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.1875
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.2765

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.1698 NPR (High: 9.1025 / Low: 7.9327). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1137 NPR (High: 8.3769 / Low: 8.2632).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.1698
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1137

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1993 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1993

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 8.3511) against the same month in 2018 (average: 8.1885), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1626 (+1.99%).

2019 Avg (August) 8.3511
2018 Avg (August) 8.1885

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.3588 8.1485 8.2778
February 8.4063 8.2216 8.3181
March 8.2820 8.0081 8.1188
April 8.1952 8.0504 8.1180
May 8.2433 8.1012 8.1626
June 8.2108 8.0899 8.1296
July 8.1185 7.8877 8.0411
August 9.1025 7.9327 8.3511
September 8.4668 8.2332 8.3204
October 8.3681 8.2347 8.2856
November 8.7357 8.1916 8.3484
December 8.3769 8.2632 8.3125