YEARLY HIGH
9.4241 NPR
YEARLY LOW
5.5127 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.0449 NPR

2020 SCR to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the SCR to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 9.4241. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 5.5127.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.9114 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.3430 to the December average rate of 5.5580, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 9.4241 was up 3.53% compared to the 2019 peak of 9.1025, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 47,121 NPR
2019 Average 41,157 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 27,563 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,557.15 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

9.0185
5.2434
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.7945, compared to 6.2952 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4993 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.7945
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.2952

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 2.0171 NPR (High: 8.9239 / Low: 6.9068). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0676 NPR (High: 6.5651 / Low: 6.4976).

April Spread (Volatile) ±2.0171
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0676

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.2052 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2052

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 8.7039) against the same month in 2019 (average: 8.1188), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5851 (+7.21%).

2020 Avg (March) 8.7039
2019 Avg (March) 8.1188

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.9574 8.2535 8.3430
February 8.6975 8.3051 8.3680
March 9.4241 8.4410 8.7039
April 8.9239 6.9068 7.4987
May 7.4893 6.7059 6.9571
June 7.2377 6.8098 6.8962
July 6.8735 6.6714 6.7899
August 6.7403 6.4544 6.6780
September 6.5651 6.4976 6.5426
October 6.5575 6.1118 6.3672
November 6.1698 5.6779 5.8357
December 5.6647 5.5127 5.5580