YEARLY HIGH
8.6086 NPR
YEARLY LOW
7.5583 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.1004 NPR

2016 SCR to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 8.6086. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 14, dropping to 7.5583.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0502 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 8.2315 to the December average rate of 8.1095, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.6086 was down 1.57% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.7462, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,043 NPR
2015 Average 38,621 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 37,792 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,251.24 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.2628
7.8871
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.1037, compared to 8.0971 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0066 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.1037
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.0971

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.9294 NPR (High: 8.5393 / Low: 7.6099). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2069 NPR (High: 8.1729 / Low: 7.9660).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.9294
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1401 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1401

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 8.2241) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.7161), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5080 (+6.58%).

2016 Avg (June) 8.2241
2015 Avg (June) 7.7161

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.4676 7.9533 8.2315
February 8.5393 7.6099 8.1556
March 8.2836 7.8171 8.0585
April 8.3294 7.5583 7.9184
May 8.2417 7.7023 8.0343
June 8.6086 8.0531 8.2241
July 8.4398 7.9986 8.1700
August 8.1812 7.9361 8.0876
September 8.1694 7.9496 8.0597
October 8.1729 7.9660 8.0548
November 8.2980 7.9345 8.1012
December 8.2859 8.0029 8.1095