2013 SCR to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5411 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.3267 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4843 VEF

2013 SCR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SCR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 6, valuing the pair at 0.5411. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 0.3267.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2144 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3300 to the December average rate of 0.5217, the exchange rate registered a net change of 58.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.5411 was up 62.40% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.3332, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,705 VEF

2012 Average 1,567 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 1,634 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,071.83 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.5578

0.3093

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4456, compared to 0.5230 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0774 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4456

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5230

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.1931 VEF (High: 0.5403 / Low: 0.3472). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0047 VEF (High: 0.5265 / Low: 0.5218).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1931

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0047

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0054 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0054

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2013: 0.5371) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.3062), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2309 (+75.39%).

2013 Avg (April) 0.5371

2012 Avg (April) 0.3062

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3362	0.3267	0.3300
February	0.3482	0.3360	0.3403
March	0.5403	0.3472	0.4013
April	0.5411	0.5333	0.5371
May	0.5378	0.5292	0.5341
June	0.5336	0.5274	0.5307
July	0.5306	0.5210	0.5253
August	0.5265	0.5218	0.5244
September	0.5263	0.5186	0.5228
October	0.5243	0.5170	0.5219
November	0.5246	0.5160	0.5219
December	0.5239	0.5192	0.5217