2014 SCR to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5278 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.4414 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4966 VEF

2014 SCR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 28, valuing the pair at 0.5278. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 8, dropping to 0.4414.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0863 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5213 to the December average rate of 0.4515, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.39% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.5278 was down 2.46% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.5411, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,639 VEF

2013 Average 2,425 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 2,207 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 431.69 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.5291

0.4360

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5181, compared to 0.4752 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0429 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5181

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4752

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.0362 VEF (High: 0.4799 / Low: 0.4437). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0040 VEF (High: 0.5132 / Low: 0.5093).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0362

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0040

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0194 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0194

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 0.5210) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.5371), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0161 (-2.99%).

2014 Avg (April) 0.5210

2013 Avg (April) 0.5371

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5238	0.5165	0.5213
February	0.5216	0.5135	0.5186
March	0.5244	0.5152	0.5184
April	0.5278	0.5116	0.5210
May	0.5256	0.5022	0.5159
June	0.5191	0.5092	0.5132
July	0.5132	0.5093	0.5115
August	0.5117	0.4844	0.5006
September	0.4862	0.4768	0.4817
October	0.4799	0.4437	0.4623
November	0.4455	0.4414	0.4437
December	0.4741	0.4432	0.4515