2016 SCR to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7894 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.4403 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6831 VEF

2016 SCR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 0.7894. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 0.4403.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3491 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4833 to the December average rate of 0.7461, the exchange rate registered a net change of 54.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7894 was up 51.52% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5210, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,947 VEF

2015 Average 2,376 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 2,202 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,745.35 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.7908

0.4432

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6140, compared to 0.7521 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1381 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6140

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7521

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.0733 VEF (High: 0.7805 / Low: 0.7072). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0152 VEF (High: 0.7612 / Low: 0.7460).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0733

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0152

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0112 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0112

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.7619) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4774), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2845 (+59.60%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.7619

2015 Avg (June) 0.4774

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4924	0.4613	0.4833
February	0.4926	0.4403	0.4721
March	0.4875	0.4646	0.4759
April	0.7805	0.7072	0.7425
May	0.7648	0.7214	0.7485
June	0.7894	0.7448	0.7619
July	0.7826	0.7425	0.7588
August	0.7638	0.7403	0.7538
September	0.7612	0.7460	0.7530
October	0.7652	0.7444	0.7532
November	0.7588	0.7386	0.7479
December	0.7580	0.7373	0.7461