2015 SCR to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5210 VEF

YEARLY LOW

0.4447 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4751 VEF

2015 SCR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SCR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 0.5210. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 19, dropping to 0.4447.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0763 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4540 to the December average rate of 0.4949, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.5210 was down 1.29% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.5278, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,605 VEF

2014 Average 2,483 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 2,223 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 381.52 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.4994

0.4460

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4632, compared to 0.4870 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0238 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4632

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4870

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.0465 VEF (High: 0.5210 / Low: 0.4745). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0142 VEF (High: 0.4597 / Low: 0.4456).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0465

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0142

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 10 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0036 points.

Longest Streak 10 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0036

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 0.4949) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.4515), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0434 (+9.61%).

2015 Avg (December) 0.4949

2014 Avg (December) 0.4515

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4794	0.4447	0.4540
February	0.4597	0.4456	0.4504
March	0.4705	0.4495	0.4607
April	0.4741	0.4594	0.4657
May	0.4795	0.4633	0.4707
June	0.4885	0.4708	0.4774
July	0.4939	0.4691	0.4818
August	0.4943	0.4737	0.4830
September	0.4962	0.4687	0.4845
October	0.4967	0.4688	0.4853
November	0.5058	0.4745	0.4925
December	0.5210	0.4745	0.4949