2019 SCR to VEF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

20026.9706 VEF

YEARLY LOW

17652.7898 VEF

YEARLY AVERAGE

18168.9820 VEF

2019 SCR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 20026.9706. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 13, dropping to 17652.7898.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2374.1808 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18204.2312 to the December average rate of 18137.9985, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 20026.9706 was up 9.51% compared to the 2018 peak of 18287.3893, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 100,134,853 VEF

2018 Average 46,777,686 VEF

Yearly Trough Low 88,263,949 VEF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,870,904.13 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

18314.0545

18104.5444

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 18167.3950, compared to 18170.5691 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.1741 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 18167.3950

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18170.5691

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 2213.7946 VEF (High: 20026.9706 / Low: 17813.1760). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 25.5473 VEF (High: 18157.8983 / Low: 18132.3510).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2213.7946

December Spread (Stable) ±25.5473

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 154.0801 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -154.0801

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 18296.5953) against the same month in 2018 (average: 13377.2218), the exchange rate shifted by +4919.3736 (+36.77%).

2019 Avg (August) 18296.5953

2018 Avg (August) 13377.2218

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	18224.9767	18175.8765	18204.2312
February	18205.2138	18006.2817	18167.4505
March	18192.9073	17991.9182	18146.2398
April	18193.3921	17892.7604	18138.8248
May	18241.8465	18119.8507	18170.7864
June	18232.9575	18090.9984	18176.8373
July	18218.2369	17771.4077	18172.2614
August	20026.9706	17813.1760	18296.5953
September	18263.2647	18067.6776	18142.5152
October	18159.4721	18078.6787	18122.0036
November	19180.0534	17652.7898	18152.0404
December	18157.8983	18132.3510	18137.9985