YEARLY HIGH
0.8156 VEF
YEARLY LOW
0.7103 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.7437 VEF

2017 SCR to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the SCR to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 22, valuing the pair at 0.8156. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 29, dropping to 0.7103.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1054 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7467 to the December average rate of 0.7397, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.93% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.8156 was up 3.32% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.7894, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,078 VEF
2016 Average 3,417 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 3,551 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 526.89 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.7498
0.7368
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.7443, compared to 0.7431 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.7443
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7431

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was November, with a trading range of 0.1019 VEF (High: 0.8156 / Low: 0.7138). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0249 VEF (High: 0.7509 / Low: 0.7260).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1019
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0249

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0090 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0090

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2017: 0.7487) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.7479), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0008 (+0.11%).

2017 Avg (November) 0.7487
2016 Avg (November) 0.7479

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.7716 0.7341 0.7467
February 0.7583 0.7306 0.7427
March 0.7698 0.7315 0.7419
April 0.7789 0.7297 0.7461
May 0.7570 0.7291 0.7437
June 0.7670 0.7180 0.7450
July 0.7614 0.7244 0.7458
August 0.7706 0.7306 0.7476
September 0.7509 0.7260 0.7388
October 0.7618 0.7103 0.7379
November 0.8156 0.7138 0.7487
December 0.7797 0.7109 0.7397