2012 UAH to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.0858 RSD

YEARLY LOW

9.9352 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.8712 RSD

2012 UAH to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UAH to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 12.0858. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 2, dropping to 9.9352.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1506 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.1336 to the December average rate of 10.6621, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 12.0858 was up 17.20% compared to the 2011 peak of 10.3123, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 60,429 RSD

2011 Average 45,790 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 49,676 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,752.83 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

11.8953

9.9734

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.6164, compared to 11.1259 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5095 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.6164

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.1259

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 1.2172 RSD (High: 11.7164 / Low: 10.4993). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2305 RSD (High: 10.5857 / Low: 10.3552).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.2172

March Spread (Stable) ±0.2305

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.6175 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6175

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 11.7188) against the same month in 2011 (average: 8.9239), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7949 (+31.32%).

2012 Avg (July) 11.7188

2011 Avg (July) 8.9239

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.2789	10.0051	10.1336
February	10.3083	9.9352	10.1848
March	10.5857	10.3552	10.4378
April	10.6046	10.3730	10.5363
May	11.7164	10.4993	10.9979
June	11.7070	11.1999	11.4082
July	12.0858	11.2875	11.7188
August	11.9322	11.5421	11.7352
September	11.5742	10.8244	11.1177
October	10.9866	10.4486	10.7590
November	10.8708	10.6071	10.7627
December	10.8489	10.5502	10.6621