YEARLY HIGH
3.9241 RSD
YEARLY LOW
3.3004 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.6860 RSD

2018 UAH to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UAH to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 14, valuing the pair at 3.9241. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 28, dropping to 3.3004.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6237 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.4143 to the December average rate of 3.7472, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.75% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.9241 was down 11.41% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.4297, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,621 RSD
2017 Average 20,235 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 16,502 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,118.74 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.8986
3.3703
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6570, compared to 3.7151 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0581 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.6570
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.7151

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.2273 RSD (High: 3.5277 / Low: 3.3004). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0640 RSD (High: 3.6372 / Low: 3.5733).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2273
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0640

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1186 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1186

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 3.8545) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.1642), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3096 (-7.44%).

2018 Avg (June) 3.8545
2017 Avg (June) 4.1642

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5277 3.3004 3.4143
February 3.5892 3.4070 3.5303
March 3.6887 3.5628 3.6442
April 3.7287 3.6280 3.6806
May 3.9194 3.7219 3.8179
June 3.9241 3.8239 3.8545
July 3.8638 3.7585 3.8269
August 3.8092 3.5866 3.7194
September 3.6372 3.5733 3.6008
October 3.7115 3.6232 3.6699
November 3.7769 3.6624 3.7266
December 3.7876 3.6874 3.7472