YEARLY HIGH
4.4297 RSD
YEARLY LOW
3.5039 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0488 RSD

2017 UAH to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the UAH to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 4.4297. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 3.5039.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9258 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2733 to the December average rate of 3.6473, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 4.4297 was down 8.50% compared to the 2016 peak of 4.8411, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,148 RSD
2016 Average 21,783 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 17,520 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,628.82 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

4.3647
3.5820
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2569, compared to 3.8407 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4162 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2569
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8407

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was December, with a trading range of 0.2557 RSD (High: 3.7596 / Low: 3.5039). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0571 RSD (High: 3.8318 / Low: 3.7747).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.2557
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0571

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.1439 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1439

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 4.2733) against the same month in 2016 (average: 4.6426), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3693 (-7.95%).

2017 Avg (January) 4.2733
2016 Avg (January) 4.6426

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.4297 4.1917 4.2733
February 4.3590 4.2504 4.2995
March 4.3639 4.2064 4.2958
April 4.3385 4.2358 4.2970
May 4.2848 4.1430 4.2114
June 4.2109 4.0524 4.1642
July 4.0838 3.9625 4.0265
August 4.0022 3.8889 3.9496
September 3.8941 3.7937 3.8227
October 3.8318 3.7747 3.8069
November 3.8474 3.7108 3.7911
December 3.7596 3.5039 3.6473