YEARLY HIGH
10.2875 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.1679 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5609 RSD

2014 UAH to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UAH to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 10.2875. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 14, dropping to 6.1679.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1196 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.1502 to the December average rate of 6.3111, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 10.2875 was down 5.56% compared to the 2013 peak of 10.8934, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,437 RSD
2013 Average 52,216 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 30,840 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,597.79 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

10.5341
5.9272
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.2324, compared to 6.8894 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.3429 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.2324
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.8894

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 1.6034 RSD (High: 10.0436 / Low: 8.4403). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1063 RSD (High: 7.3286 / Low: 7.2223).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.6034
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1063

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.4168 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4168

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 10.1502) against the same month in 2013 (average: 10.3977), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2475 (-2.38%).

2014 Avg (January) 10.1502
2013 Avg (January) 10.3977

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.2875 9.9642 10.1502
February 10.0436 8.4403 9.5613
March 9.0848 7.4851 8.3831
April 7.4395 6.4633 6.9663
May 7.2391 7.0605 7.1535
June 7.2969 7.1187 7.1800
July 7.4258 7.1465 7.2848
August 7.1748 6.4735 6.7871
September 7.2549 6.7362 7.1222
October 7.3286 7.2223 7.2702
November 7.3360 6.1679 6.5612
December 6.4533 6.1978 6.3111