2013 UAH to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.8934 RSD

YEARLY LOW

10.0065 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.4422 RSD

2013 UAH to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UAH to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 6, valuing the pair at 10.8934. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 10.0065.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8870 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3977 to the December average rate of 10.1625, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.26% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 10.8934 was down 9.87% compared to the 2012 peak of 12.0858, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,467 RSD

2012 Average 54,370 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 50,032 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,434.78 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

10.7387

10.1101

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.4794, compared to 10.4050 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0744 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.4794

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.4050

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was January, with a trading range of 0.6324 RSD (High: 10.7233 / Low: 10.0908). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1451 RSD (High: 10.6482 / Low: 10.5032).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.6324

August Spread (Stable) ±0.1451

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2889 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2889

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2013: 10.6863) against the same month in 2012 (average: 11.7188), the exchange rate shifted by -1.0325 (-8.81%).

2013 Avg (July) 10.6863

2012 Avg (July) 11.7188

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.7233	10.0908	10.3977
February	10.4546	10.0065	10.2500
March	10.7402	10.4760	10.5903
April	10.7111	10.3926	10.5205
May	10.6070	10.3612	10.5038
June	10.7734	10.4422	10.6141
July	10.8934	10.5429	10.6863
August	10.6482	10.5032	10.5401
September	10.6982	10.3372	10.5129
October	10.3482	10.0735	10.2240
November	10.4016	10.2069	10.3043
December	10.2658	10.0446	10.1625