2016 UAH to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.8411 RSD

YEARLY LOW

4.0779 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.3552 RSD

2016 UAH to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 4.8411. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 4.0779.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7631 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.6426 to the December average rate of 4.4537, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.8411 was down 30.53% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.9687, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,205 RSD

2015 Average 25,259 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 20,390 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,815.70 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.6890

4.1328

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3318, compared to 4.3787 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0468 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3318

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.3787

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.4220 RSD (High: 4.8411 / Low: 4.4191). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0773 RSD (High: 4.5301 / Low: 4.4528).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4220

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0773

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.4634 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4634

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 4.6426) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.6496), the exchange rate shifted by -2.0070 (-30.18%).

2016 Avg (January) 4.6426

2015 Avg (January) 6.6496

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.8411	4.4191	4.6426
February	4.4127	4.0779	4.1792
March	4.3733	4.0979	4.2154
April	4.3183	4.1201	4.2376
May	4.4135	4.2413	4.3123
June	4.5158	4.3420	4.4039
July	4.5301	4.4528	4.4870
August	4.4753	4.2279	4.3733
September	4.2734	4.0987	4.1874
October	4.4175	4.2300	4.3367
November	4.5592	4.3233	4.4338
December	4.5140	4.3090	4.4537