2011 UGX to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1223 MRO

YEARLY LOW

0.0973 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1113 MRO

2011 UGX to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 25, valuing the pair at 0.1223. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 28, dropping to 0.0973.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0249 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1203 to the December average rate of 0.1169, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.1223 was down 10.86% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.1371, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 611 MRO

2010 Average 629 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 487 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 124.59 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.1224

0.0978

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1165, compared to 0.1062 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0103 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1165

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1062

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0123 MRO (High: 0.1148 / Low: 0.1025). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 MRO (High: 0.1147 / Low: 0.1116).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0123

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0055 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0055

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2011: 0.1201) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.1297), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0096 (-7.40%).

2011 Avg (February) 0.1201

2010 Avg (February) 0.1297

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1221	0.1185	0.1203
February	0.1223	0.1181	0.1201
March	0.1207	0.1148	0.1177
April	0.1210	0.1140	0.1159
May	0.1147	0.1116	0.1136
June	0.1148	0.1025	0.1114
July	0.1078	0.1046	0.1064
August	0.1057	0.0973	0.1009
September	0.1019	0.0983	0.0998
October	0.1108	0.0988	0.1027
November	0.1138	0.1075	0.1104
December	0.1210	0.1124	0.1169