YEARLY HIGH
0.0985 MRO
YEARLY LOW
0.0944 MRO
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0964 MRO

2019 UGX to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UGX to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 0.0985. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 18, dropping to 0.0944.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0041 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0964 to the December average rate of 0.0972, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.0985 was up 0.52% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.0980, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 493 MRO
2018 Average 477 MRO
Yearly Trough Low 472 MRO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20.45 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.0974
0.0945
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0960, compared to 0.0968 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0960
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0968

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.0025 MRO (High: 0.0971 / Low: 0.0946). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 MRO (High: 0.0967 / Low: 0.0961).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0025
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0009 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0009

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 0.0967) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.0956), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0011 (+1.18%).

2019 Avg (August) 0.0967
2018 Avg (August) 0.0956

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0976 0.0956 0.0964
February 0.0974 0.0964 0.0972
March 0.0967 0.0961 0.0964
April 0.0961 0.0950 0.0955
May 0.0954 0.0944 0.0948
June 0.0971 0.0946 0.0956
July 0.0968 0.0959 0.0966
August 0.0985 0.0964 0.0967
September 0.0980 0.0967 0.0971
October 0.0974 0.0957 0.0965
November 0.0969 0.0962 0.0966
December 0.0975 0.0964 0.0972