2016 UGX to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1068 MRO

YEARLY LOW

0.0909 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1027 MRO

2016 UGX to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 16, valuing the pair at 0.1068. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.0909.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0159 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0971 to the December average rate of 0.0995, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1068 was up 0.47% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1063, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 534 MRO

2015 Average 481 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 455 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 79.50 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1066

0.0962

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1022, compared to 0.1033 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1022

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1033

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0087 MRO (High: 0.0996 / Low: 0.0909). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 MRO (High: 0.1056 / Low: 0.1050).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0087

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0035 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0035

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.1052) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1042), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0010 (+0.92%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.1052

2015 Avg (May) 0.1042

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0996	0.0909	0.0971
February	0.1024	0.0956	0.0997
March	0.1034	0.1016	0.1023
April	0.1051	0.1015	0.1034
May	0.1068	0.1034	0.1052
June	0.1064	0.1043	0.1057
July	0.1058	0.1044	0.1051
August	0.1059	0.1048	0.1054
September	0.1056	0.1050	0.1053
October	0.1051	0.1031	0.1039
November	0.1029	0.0983	0.1005
December	0.1007	0.0983	0.0995