2012 UGX to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1264 MRO

YEARLY LOW

0.1103 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1179 MRO

2012 UGX to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 0.1264. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 0.1103.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0161 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1196 to the December average rate of 0.1117, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.1264 was up 3.39% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1223, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 632 MRO

2011 Average 556 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 552 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 80.28 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.1259

0.1104

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1188, compared to 0.1170 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0018 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1188

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1170

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0084 MRO (High: 0.1238 / Low: 0.1154). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0025 MRO (High: 0.1205 / Low: 0.1180).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0084

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0025

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0068 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0068

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.1246) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.1201), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0045 (+3.74%).

2012 Avg (February) 0.1246

2011 Avg (February) 0.1201

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1238	0.1154	0.1196
February	0.1264	0.1195	0.1246
March	0.1195	0.1141	0.1178
April	0.1180	0.1149	0.1159
May	0.1187	0.1155	0.1174
June	0.1194	0.1152	0.1175
July	0.1212	0.1173	0.1195
August	0.1223	0.1195	0.1209
September	0.1205	0.1180	0.1196
October	0.1179	0.1153	0.1164
November	0.1156	0.1105	0.1137
December	0.1132	0.1103	0.1117