2014 UGX to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1188 MRO

YEARLY LOW

0.1045 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1126 MRO

2014 UGX to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 12, valuing the pair at 0.1188. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 0.1045.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0143 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1163 to the December average rate of 0.1052, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.1188 was down 1.31% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.1204, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 594 MRO

2013 Average 568 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 523 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 71.48 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.1191

0.1039

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1160, compared to 0.1092 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0068 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1160

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1092

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was April, with a trading range of 0.0044 MRO (High: 0.1184 / Low: 0.1140). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 MRO (High: 0.1057 / Low: 0.1045).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0044

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0027 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 0.1178) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.1127), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0052 (+4.59%).

2014 Avg (February) 0.1178

2013 Avg (February) 0.1127

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1177	0.1150	0.1163
February	0.1188	0.1151	0.1178
March	0.1169	0.1143	0.1155
April	0.1184	0.1140	0.1168
May	0.1173	0.1146	0.1161
June	0.1150	0.1118	0.1135
July	0.1125	0.1096	0.1109
August	0.1133	0.1112	0.1119
September	0.1126	0.1099	0.1114
October	0.1105	0.1077	0.1092
November	0.1090	0.1048	0.1069
December	0.1057	0.1045	0.1052