2013 UGX to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1204 MRO

YEARLY LOW

0.1008 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1136 MRO

2013 UGX to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UGX to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 6, valuing the pair at 0.1204. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 29, dropping to 0.1008.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0196 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1123 to the December average rate of 0.1161, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.33% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.1204 was down 4.75% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.1264, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 602 MRO

2012 Average 589 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 504 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 97.82 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.1194

0.1051

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1107, compared to 0.1164 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0057 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1107

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1164

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.0143 MRO (High: 0.1161 / Low: 0.1018). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0016 MRO (High: 0.1168 / Low: 0.1151).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0143

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0034 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0034

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2013: 0.1182) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.1137), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0045 (+3.94%).

2013 Avg (November) 0.1182

2012 Avg (November) 0.1137

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1132	0.1113	0.1123
February	0.1136	0.1115	0.1127
March	0.1119	0.1070	0.1096
April	0.1090	0.1008	0.1063
May	0.1161	0.1018	0.1082
June	0.1162	0.1134	0.1151
July	0.1178	0.1128	0.1150
August	0.1173	0.1138	0.1165
September	0.1181	0.1117	0.1146
October	0.1199	0.1144	0.1182
November	0.1204	0.1150	0.1182
December	0.1168	0.1151	0.1161