2021 UGX to MRO Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1015 MRO

YEARLY LOW

0.0003 MRO

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0971 MRO

2021 UGX to MRO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to MRO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 10, valuing the pair at 0.1015. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 27, dropping to 0.0003.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1012 MRO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0967 to the December average rate of 0.0712, the exchange rate registered a net change of -26.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.1015 was up 3.61% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0980, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 507 MRO

2020 Average 480 MRO

Yearly Trough Low 1 MRO

Transaction Impact: A difference of 506.08 MRO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.1041

0.0682

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MRO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0986, compared to 0.0957 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0986

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0957

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 0.1005 MRO (High: 0.1008 / Low: 0.0003). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 MRO (High: 0.0977 / Low: 0.0973).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.1005

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0292 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0292

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2021: 0.1008) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0955), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0053 (+5.55%).

2021 Avg (June) 0.1008

2020 Avg (June) 0.0955

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0977	0.0960	0.0967
February	0.0975	0.0970	0.0974
March	0.0977	0.0973	0.0975
April	0.0998	0.0974	0.0984
May	0.1011	0.0993	0.1005
June	0.1015	0.1004	0.1008
July	0.1009	0.1001	0.1005
August	0.1011	0.1005	0.1009
September	0.1014	0.1003	0.1011
October	0.1009	0.0984	0.0998
November	0.1012	0.0997	0.1004
December	0.1008	0.0003	0.0712