2011 UGX to SLL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.8533 SLL

YEARLY LOW

1.5399 SLL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.7236 SLL

2011 UGX to SLL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to SLL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 13, valuing the pair at 1.8533. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 29, dropping to 1.5399.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3134 SLL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.7982 to the December average rate of 1.7739, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1.8533 was down 8.52% compared to the 2010 peak of 2.0259, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,266 SLL

2010 Average 9,090 SLL

Yearly Trough Low 7,699 SLL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,567.21 SLL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1.8483

1.5515

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to SLL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.7967, compared to 1.6504 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1462 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.7967

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.6504

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.1884 SLL (High: 1.8144 / Low: 1.6260). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0307 SLL (High: 1.8247 / Low: 1.7940).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.1884

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0307

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0963 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0963

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2011: 1.8236) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1.8576), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0341 (-1.83%).

2011 Avg (April) 1.8236

2010 Avg (April) 1.8576

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.8367	1.7499	1.7982
February	1.8473	1.7596	1.8054
March	1.8039	1.7578	1.7762
April	1.8533	1.8044	1.8236
May	1.8247	1.7940	1.8116
June	1.8144	1.6260	1.7652
July	1.7133	1.6657	1.6817
August	1.6716	1.5399	1.5855
September	1.6142	1.5419	1.5762
October	1.7271	1.5424	1.5923
November	1.7333	1.6698	1.6930
December	1.8365	1.7039	1.7739